|
|
|
|
By Jonathan Marcus
BBC defence correspondent
|
|
|
The latest attack by US and
British warplanes against a command and control centre in southern Iraq
has inevitably raised speculation that it may be a preliminary to a much
broader air campaign.
The location of the target -
well to the west of Baghdad - is unusual, though the Pentagon has moved
swiftly to deny press speculation that the operation involved up to 100
warplanes.
Iraq's integrated air defence system was largely
destroyed during the Gulf War - since then it has to some extent
been re-built.
|
Only a small number of aircraft
actually released weapons: The overall "strike package" including
electronic warfare planes, accompanying fighters and so on, probably
numbered no more than 30 aircraft.
But the key question is how
this attack - described by sources in both the Pentagon and the Ministry
of Defence in London as "routine" - relates to the Bush Administration's
wider military plans for Iraq?
Each and every operation from
now on is going to be scrutinised by outsiders to see just how it might
fit into any war plan.
In reality all of the attacks
against Iraqi radars, missile sites and so on, serve to gradually wear
away Iraq's defences.
Outside
assistance
The country's integrated air
defence system was largely destroyed during the 1991 Gulf War. Since then
it has to some extent been rebuilt.
While still largely relying
upon old Soviet-era surface-to-air missiles the Iraqis are said by
intelligence analysts to have sought to re-create some sort of cohesive
national defence system.
Iraq's air defences are less than
formidable
|
Some
new equipment has been brought in from abroad.
China has been accused of
assisting the Iraqis to lay a network of fibre-optic cables in the ground,
to provide secure communications between command centres and missile
batteries.
The Iraqis have also mounted
some static weapons onto trucks to give them a greater degree of mobility.
Iraq's air defences, though,
are no match for America's air power.
US and British patrols enable
significant quantities of intelligence to be gathered.
The aim of any eventual air
campaign will be to destroy the coherence of Iraq's air defence system as
a whole and then to attack it piece by piece.
Clearly any individual
operations that destroy vital elements of this network like command
centres or relay stations makes the eventual task that much easier.
War footing
But the real signs of US
military preparation are elsewhere.
Certain key reservists have had
their call-up terms lengthened.
Iraqi tanks which survived the Gulf War
lack spare
parts
|
Military
equipment is quietly on the move.
At least one additional ship
has been chartered to carry armoured vehicles to the Gulf region.
Reports suggest that a heavy
armoured brigade's worth of equipment - 100 M1A1 tanks, 30 Bradley
armoured fighting vehicles as well as some 300 other guns, rocket
launchers and transport vehicles - has been moved from Qatar to Kuwait.
This joins an existing
brigade-set of equipment already pre-positioned in Kuwait.
This gives the Americans a full
division's worth of equipment in Kuwait which could be activated at short
notice, its soldiers flown in from the US or Germany and then deployed
into the field.
This is not yet the full
build-up for war. It could still be classed as prudent planning by the US
military.
But the pieces are slowly being
moved into position.
Some people believe that if
there is a war against Iraq, it may involve a relatively small force
initially - there will not be the long build-up of Operation Desert Storm
hosted by Saudi Arabia, which shows every sign of wanting to see out this
crisis on the sidelines.